Saturday, October 19, 2019

Leopaul's Heaven and Hell: The trouble with Brexit

Great Britain is due to leave the European Union at the end of October and now, the House of Commons are gathered to vote on Prime Minister Boris Johnson's new and improved Brexit deal, which is expected to be a razor-thin chance of make it or break it.


Ever since most of Britain voted in favor of leaving the EU three years ago, British politics are all gone to hell when it comes to crafting a deal that will secure the relations between Britain and the European Union. Theresa May had the chance but after her deal failed three times, Mrs May thrown the towel for good and in her humiliating defeat, the former London mayor and former defense secretary of the defunct May administration, Boris Johnson, rose into power as Britain's new Prime Minister.

Although he is optimistic about getting the deal done, the latest UK Prime Minister's gone "macho" with his Trump-esque approach, saying that he's not afraid of a no-deal Brexit, which most feared that in the case of the latter, it could be the end of United Kingdom as they know it. Very macho, indeed.

With BoJo's rise to power, almost everyone in the Conservative Party believed that he will solve the Brexit problem better than May but the entire opposition, especially the Jeremy Corbyn-led Labour Party, lambasted the macho PM, saying he's even worse than Theresa May by comparison.

I don't take sides in the Brexit dilemma even though there's little time left before the Brits go bye-bye to the EU bandwagon but if my brain rings a loud air raid siren, there's something about the Brexit event and what exactly happens in the event the United Kingdom has left the European Union as scheduled.

Everybody's familiar with what happens when no-deal Brexit is happened, which is very likely according to most sources, but there's more into this big, dystopic, picture than that. Yes, we know that traveling, trade, and immigration  will be extremely hampered by the no-deal Brexit but you know what really happens in case this happened?

Me being a fool to current events, no-deal Brexit could really means everything we love about the United Kingdom will be gone for good; Doctor Who, Peppa Pig, Top Gear, every singe British pop culture the world love will be evaporated for good. Even sporting and motorsport events held in the UK will be shattered into pieces due to no-deal Brexit and that really hurts for sports fans in Europe.

What's worse, states that became part of United Kingdom such as Wales and Scotland may declare independence and the Union Jack flag will be as useless in the world stage for good. Sure, Wales voted in favor of LEAVE but in such case, they might be joining Scotland in declaring independence from the UK.

Oh and did I mention that Northern Ireland, which was part of UK several decades ago, may be reunited with Ireland because the NI people aren't very comfortable with the Brexit scenario. The backstop issue is now gone from BoJo's Brexit deal but most from Northern Ireland, especially the DUP, aren't very happy about it and if no-deal Brexit happens, these people want to get of UK hands and bring Northern Ireland back to Ireland for good and since Ireland is part of the European Union, they had benefits that the former EU member never had because it abandoned them.

Everybody knows that Great Britain is the fifth largest economy in the world but in the event of no-deal Brexit, it will no longer be the fifth largest and it will be overtaken by those behind them. I'm no economist but if Great Britain has fallen from the largest economies in the world, expect to be dropped to a double-digit position. Don't know where but it will be in a yellow alert and as years pass by, it will hit the danger zone.

As most experts predict the doom and gloom in the British economy in the event of a no-deal Brexit, a few expressed some upsides in the no-deal Brexit. When German Chancellor Angela Merkel said that aside from the United States and China, the European Union might be worrying about an ultra-competitive Great Britain, that's for sure, but how?

Because Great Britain is free from the grips of Brussels bureaucrats, they are free to adopt whatever economy policies they can pull on their sleeves. There are even news of a possible UK-US free trade deal in the event the Brits have left the EU as scheduled. Only concern is that because Mr. Tariff Man imposed tariffs on EU goods due to the airplane subsidy fiasco between the two sides, it's hard to predict the outcome once Britain has left the EU, leaving plenty of questions to solve before the two sides forged a newly-found alliance across the Atlantic.

Apart from that, the Brits can implement their own rules and promising to be even greater than EU-imposed laws. Some will benefit but some will cause a lot of headaches but it's too early to tell what will the UK-based laws will be once they've left the bloc.

Like I said, I don't take sides on the Brexit issue but whatever the outcome will be in the event of a no-deal Brexit, the politicians that got involved in this mess will have their last say to this ever-falling House of Cards. Deal or no deal, expect plenty of drama on politics not just on Britain but the rest of The Old Continent, metaphorically speaking, and whatever happens in Great Britain will be the best topic students will pick for their research project in class and consigned to the pages of history books now and forever. The more you know.

God Save The Queen.

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